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Why Is USD/CAD Struggling Below 1.3700? | Key Factors Driving the Currency Pair's Movement

  • The what is xrpUSD/CAD exchange rate shows modest decline as greenback undergoes technical correction

  • Upcoming high-level US-China trade discussions create market anticipation

  • Positive employment data from the US continues to influence Fed policy expectations

The USD/CAD currency pair demonstrates a slight downward movement during Monday's Asian trading session, hovering near the 1.3680 level. This retracement follows Friday's notable 0.50% appreciation of the US Dollar, which came in response to stronger-than-anticipated employment figures from the United States. The labor market data has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve might maintain current interest rate levels in upcoming policy decisions.

Recent statistics from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that Nonfarm Payrolls expanded by 139,000 positions during May, surpassing market projections of 130,000. While this represents a modest deceleration from April's revised figure of 147,000, the overall labor market picture remains robust. Additional indicators showed stability in the unemployment rate at 4.2% and consistent wage growth at 3.9%, both exceeding analyst forecasts.

Market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic as diplomatic developments between Washington and Beijing emerge. The recent communication between US and Chinese leadership has set the stage for renewed trade negotiations, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent scheduled to engage in discussions with Chinese counterparts. These diplomatic overtures have helped alleviate some market concerns regarding escalating trade tensions.

The potential thaw in US-China trade relations carries implications for the Canadian economy, particularly regarding recent tariff measures on steel and aluminum exports. While recent policy changes have increased certain tariffs to 50%, Canadian officials continue to pursue negotiations aimed at establishing a more comprehensive economic partnership with the United States. Market participants will monitor these developments for potential impacts on North American trade flows and currency valuations.

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